Can Scotland at last end the All Blacks hoodoo?
International Rugby Series: Scottish team versus All Blacks
Where: Scottish Gas Murrayfield, Edinburgh When: Saturday, 8 November Time: 15:10 GMT
Things were simpler then. The fourth meeting of Scotland and New Zealand. A heaving Murrayfield, a scoreless tie, winter of 1964. Celebration when the whistle blew. Fans flooding the field to reflect the home team's momentous achievement.
Having beaten three home nations, the All Blacks had finally been halted in a international match.
A contemporary reporter was nearly overcome with excitement. "A game that no-one who saw it will ever forget," he announced excitedly and somewhat optimistically. "Where Scottish rugby preserved British pride."
Exiting the ground after the match, home supporters would have had hope for the future. Multiple efforts to defeat the All Blacks and no wins, but clear signs that success might be imminent.
A few seasons after, the All Blacks defeated Scotland. Half a decade later, they beat them again. Three years further on, same story. Five more years went by and, indeed, the pattern continued.
Recent History
Twenty games since then later. Twenty consecutive New Zealand victories. From Christchurch to Dunedin, Auckland to Cardiff - locations have varied but results remain consistent.
In his time in the job, Gregor Townsend has broken winless streaks in Paris, Cardiff and Twickenham, but this challenge is different. Over a century of matches. One of sport's greatest hoodoos.
Squad Updates
In recent years the landslide 20, 30 and 40-point wins have narrowed to eight points, five points and eight points in recent encounters, but New Zealand consistently prevail.
Via their excellence, physical dominance, their chicanery, they get the job done.
We're now at the point of the week where the optimism that some may have held for a Scottish win is likely diminishing. Hope is colliding with history.
Missing Players
Thursday brought news that Zander Fagerson hadn't made it. For Scotland's hopes it was like a kick in the guts.
The prop has been absent since spring, but he's exceptional and if available then his absence from play would not have been a massive concern.
In an era when most props are replaced early in matches, Fagerson's engine keeps running. No tighthead played nearly as many minutes in the Six Nations.
Squad Depth
They're without Huw Jones but his replacement is in excellent form with his club. Fagerson's replacement presents concerns. While Rae is capable, his international experience consists of limited game time.
Once Rae's shift ends, there's Elliot Millar-Mills to come on. Millar-Mills is a decent prop, evidence is lacking that he's All Black-beating class.
Strategic Decisions
Townsend has sprung surprises, some logical, some puzzling. Steyn's tactical awareness replaces van der Merwe's physical approach.
The flanker selection is unconventional, Rory Darge starting on the bench. There's no Andy Onyeama-Christie in the 23.
Historical Context
Facing the Irish, the All Blacks secured the opening match of what they hope will be an undefeated tour. They took an age to get going, despite numerical advantage, but their last-quarter demolition secured victory.
That and Ireland's defensive shape, their attack, set-piece issues.
Statistical Analysis
Despite late-game surges, the final quarter is not where the All Blacks do most of their damage. In all of their Tests recently, they've scored 87 tries in opening periods and fewer after halftime.
Strong opening performances, excellent second quarters, 26 in the third and solid finishes. They come exploding out of the traps.
Required Performance
During their last meeting, they struck twice in the initial stages. Leading 14-0, the game looked done. Scotland recovered majestically to dominate temporarily.
The clear message is that, figuratively speaking, Scotland needs sustained pressure from kickoff - maintaining intensity.
Over the last decade, successful opponents have needed to score in the upper twenties. Scottish scoring only occasionally against New Zealand.
Conclusion
Perfect execution is required for Scotland. Absolutely everything. Wasted opportunities then hopes fade. Disciplinary issues? A high penalty count? Set-piece struggles? The game is lost.
With perfect execution? Explosive start. Vocal support. Electric atmosphere. Ruthlessness. Russell being Russell. Graham being Graham.
Optimistic thinking, maybe. Consistent performance has been elusive from the Scottish team that would be sufficient against New Zealand. If the capability exists, it's about time it came out; 120 years is enough of a wait.